Asia Cup 2025 Super Four Qualification: Group B Scenarios Explained

Group B of the Men’s T20 Asia Cup 2025 has reached its decisive stage. With Sri Lanka already looking strong and Bangladesh securing a key win over Afghanistan, the race for the Super Four spots is heating up. Here’s how the qualification picture stands after nine matches.

Current Standings – Group B

1. Sri Lanka – 2 matches, 2 wins, 4 points, NRR +1.546
2. Bangladesh – 3 matches, 2 wins, 1 loss, 4 points, NRR -0.270
3. Afghanistan – 2 matches, 1 win, 1 loss, 2 points, NRR +2.150
4. Hong Kong – 3 matches, 0 wins, 3 losses, 0 points, NRR -2.151

Who Has Qualified Already?

• Sri Lanka (4 pts, NRR +1.546): Already confirmed for the Super Four with two wins out of two.
• Bangladesh (4 pts, NRR -0.270): Finished their group campaign with 2 wins and 1 loss. Their spot depends on Afghanistan’s final match result.

Bangladesh’s Equation

• Bangladesh have finished their group campaign on 4 points with a negative NRR.
• Their fate rests entirely on Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka.

Afghanistan’s Qualification Scenarios

If Afghanistan beat Sri Lanka:

• Afghanistan reach 4 points.
• Their NRR (+2.150) is far superior to Bangladesh’s (-0.270).
• Even a 1-run win or a chase with 1 ball left will be enough to qualify.
• Result: Sri Lanka + Afghanistan progress.

If Afghanistan lose to Sri Lanka:

• Afghanistan remain on 2 points and are eliminated.
• Result: Sri Lanka + Bangladesh progress.

If Match is Abandoned/No Result:

• Afghanistan move to 3 points.
• Result: Sri Lanka (4 points) + Bangladesh (4 Points) progress.

Hong Kong Eliminated

• With 3 losses in 3 matches, Hong Kong are officially out of contention. Their campaign ends without a victory in Group B.

Possible Qualification Scenarios

• If Afghanistan beat Sri Lanka: Super Four from Group B → Sri Lanka, Afghanistan.
• If Sri Lanka beat Afghanistan: Super Four from Group B → Sri Lanka, Bangladesh.
• If it rains/No Result (unlikely in Abu Dhabi): Afghanistan finish on 3 points, that means → Sri Lanka, Bangladesh qualify.

The final Group B game between Sri Lanka and Afghanistan is virtually a knockout clash for the second Super Four spot. Bangladesh will be watching closely, hoping Sri Lanka maintain their unbeaten run. Afghanistan, however, know that victory will seal their progress regardless of margins.