T20 World Cup 2024 Super Eight: Qualification Scenario for Netherlands

As the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2024 enters its final group stage matches, Group D’s second qualifying spot for the Super Eight is still up for grabs. South Africa have already secured their place, leaving Bangladesh and the Netherlands in contention for the remaining spot. Here’s a look at the qualification scenario for Netherlands

Current Scenario

Bangladesh: Currently in a strong position with 4 points.
Netherlands: Need a win and favorable results in other matches to qualify.

Key Matches Today

Bangladesh vs Nepal: Bangladesh must lose for the Netherlands to have a better chance.
Netherlands vs Sri Lanka: The Netherlands must win this match to keep their hopes alive.

Qualification Scenario for Netherlands

If Bangladesh Lose to Nepal:
- Batting First: If Bangladesh lose to Nepal by 30 runs (assuming a first-innings score of 150), the Netherlands must beat Sri Lanka by around 23 runs.
- Batting Second: If Nepal chase a target in 18 overs against Bangladesh, the Netherlands will need to chase within 14.3 overs against Sri Lanka.
If Bangladesh Win Against Nepal:
- The Netherlands’ chances depend heavily on Net Run Rate (NRR). If Bangladesh win, the Netherlands must not only win their match but also ensure a significant NRR boost, which might still leave them behind Bangladesh depending on the margin.
If Both Teams Lose:
- If Bangladesh lose and the Netherlands also lose to Sri Lanka, Bangladesh will qualify based on points.

Match Details

Sri Lanka vs Netherlands
- When: June 17, 8:30 PM Local time, 6:00 AM IST
- Where: Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St Lucia
- Conditions: The pitch in St. Lucia has been favorable for batters, with Scotland recently posting 180/5, indicating potential for high-scoring matches.

For the Netherlands, it’s a do-or-die situation. They need a win and must hope for a favorable outcome in Bangladesh vs. Nepal match. If both these conditions are met, they have a realistic chance of making it to the Super Eight, where they would join the likes of Afghanistan, India, Australia, West Indies, United States, England, and South Africa in the next stage of the competition.